China's nickel ore imports will slow further in the second half of the year as domestic nickel pig ironproducers cut back production, an industry analyst told Interfax July24.
China imported 8.76 million tons of nickel ore in the first six months of this year, up 26.07 percent when compared with the same period last year, though the country's imports over the month of June dropped by 41.88 percent from the previous month to 1.18 million tons.
"China saw big monthly drops in June imports of nickel from both Indonesia and the Philippines, China's two major overseas nickel oresources, and sluggish demand from Chinese nickel pig iron producers means that imports are likely to continue falling," Xu Aidong, ananalyst with Beijing Antaike Information, said.
Xu predicted that China's nickel ore imports would amount to around 15 million tons this year, dipping 3.60 percent from last year.
Stockpiles of nickel ore in China's major ports have grown to between 8.50 million tons and 9.00 million tons.
"Many of China's nickel pig iron producers have either cut production or halted operations altogether because of low nickel prices, currently ataround $20,000 per ton, coupled with tight energy supplies and sluggish demand from stainless steel mills. Companies that use blast furnaces forproduction were hit hardest, as they cannot afford the increasingly steep coke prices," Xu said.
Domestic stainless steel supply has expanded following a cut in exporttax rebates for some stainless steel products in July last year.
Production cuts and ex-works price adjustments by stainless steel millshave failed to boost to consumption, as demand from downstream stainlesssteel consumers has fallen alongside the slowing economy.
Xu said that China's biggest stainless steel mill, Taiyuan Iron and Steel Group, is now operating at a capacity of 110,000 tons per month,which is less than 50 percent of its total capacity.
Antaike has released a prediction that China will have a surplus ofaround 700,000 to 800,000 tons of stainless steel this year.
Three-month nickel contracts on the London Metal Exchange closed 1.96 percent lower from the previous trading day at $20,000 per ton on July23, the lowest since June 2006. Spot nickel prices on the domestic market ranged from RMB 154,500 ($22,621.78) per ton to RMB 156,000($22,841.41) per ton on July 24, down RMB 3,575 ($523.59) per ton fromthe previous day's trading.
Up to 95 percent of China's nickel ore imports are laterite ore fornickel pig iron production.