China is still experiencing an overall coal shortage despite growing stockpiles in some areas, although supply shortfall pressure will ease later this year, a coal industry expert told Interfax on Sept. 17.
"The nationwide coal supply shortage that started in the summer is not over, despite high coal stockpiles that were recorded in the past two weeks," said Li Chaolin, a senior coal industry researcher forCoalWorld, a specialized industry portal.
Northern Shandong-based Qinhuangdao Port, the country's major coaltrans-shipment port, saw its coal stockpiles swell by 3 million tons to 8.32 million tons on Sept. 11. Meanwhile, some major unloading ports and coal-fired power plants in the south also reported record coal inventories.
However, most of the country, including north western Qinghai Province, southwestern Guizhou Province and the central provinces of Henan and Jiangxi, still faces severe coal supply shortfalls as local prices continue to soar, said Li, who based his comments on talks with regional coal market watchers.
Li's analysis differed from that of some analysts who have reported that the supply shortage is over.
The problem is the country's unreasonably managed railway coaltransportation system, Li said.
Chinese railway authorities, pressured by government quotas, have continued to send coal to coastal regions where demand has fallen, leaving the overburdened system unable to transport enough coal to whereit is needed, Li said, adding that high costs and load limits has prevented the transportation of coal by road.
Despite ongoing shortages in some areas, Li believes the coming winter will not see another supply crisis like in the summer, both of which are peak consumption seasons.
"It is because domestic demand and supply are both growing at slower speeds and are very likely to balance out this year," he said.
Domestic demand for coal has slowed along with the country's waning economy, Li said.
Meanwhile, coal supply will also be reduced this winter because some small-scale coalmines usually shut down for two to three months, when bad weather makes transportation difficult, Li explained.
He predicted that the country's coal output in 2008 will reach around 2.7 billion tons, rising by 10 percent year-on-year, and national coal consumption will also amount to a similar figure.
In 2007, China produced 2.52 billion tons of coal and consumed 2.53 billion tons, according to China National Coal Association statistics.